Sudan: No end in sight after nearly 50 days of fighting
Sudanese army soldiers ride a motorcycle in Khartoum, on June 26, 2023.
Audio By Vocalize
Analysts monitoring Sudan say it might take
an internationally supported peacekeeping force to end the ongoing fighting
there. That assessment follows multiple failed cease-fire attempts and talks
facilitated by Saudi Arabia and the United States.
Until two weeks ago, Hala Alkarib lived in
Khartoum, where she's the regional director for the Strategic Initiative for
Women in the Horn of Africa. But she and other colleagues had to relocate
because of the horrors created by the ongoing war, including looting.
"I would say 75% or more of Khartoum
inhabitants have experienced looting," Alkarib said. "Our homes were
completely looted, our vehicles, our personal properties, our papers and
documents were destroyed and burned."
She said the strategy of the Rapid Support
Forces run by General Hamdan Dagalo is not new.
"The presence on the ground inside
residential areas being in Khartoum, in Al Fasher, in Nyala or in [El] Geneina,
the RSF strategy is to run a war from within and inside civilian
residencies," Alkarib said. "The RSF are the extension of the
Janjaweed. It's been done for over 20 years in rural Darfur, where villagers
were terrorized, and infrastructure was completely destroyed."
Alkarib blames the Sudanese Armed Forces led
by General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, for enabling the RSF to flourish.
"SAF unfortunately, they were for years
kind of relying on the RSF to do their dirty work and they were complacent and
enabled this criminal organization to grow and right now it grew to the point
that it actually threatens the existence of overall Sudan as a state."
She said it's unfortunate the international
community is not exerting sufficient pressure on countries that could help end
the war.
"Seventy-five percent of the causes of
this war lies outside of Sudan," Alkarib said. "UAE [United Arab
Emirates] and their significant support to the RSF and Egypt and their position
– anti- any type of democratic governance in Sudan and that constantly put them
in a position where they support SAF as potential rulers."
That sentiment was partly echoed by Dr. Edgar
Githua, a lecturer at the United States International University and Strathmore
University.
"The African Union and the world in
general looking at this situation need to step up and need to call out Russia
and tell Russia pull out the Wagner group, get it out," Githua said.
"Egypt is an easier group to deal with, the U.S. has a lot of leverage
with Egypt. Libya, Khalifa Haftar can be told to back down also, and the UAE
can be told to back off."
Some of the countries mentioned offered to
mediate the crisis and denied involvement in the war. Githua said the
international community must become more directly involved.
"They are coming to the battlefield with
renewed vigor and at some point, the world has no choice but there has to be
some external intervention and for me it'll be a peacekeeping force that
creates a humanitarian corridor to just try to restore normalcy."
The Jeddah talks overseen by the United
States and Saudi Arabia were recently suspended and the most recent offer by
the Intergovernmental Authority on Development, or IGAD, to mediate the crisis
also stalled because one of the generals said he didn't want the Kenyan
president leading the group that is made up of South Sudan, Djibouti, Ethiopia,
and Somalia.
And that's a problem, said Macharia Munene,
professor of History and International Relations at USIU in Nairobi.
"One of the generals, Burhan, has said
he doesn't want anything to do with him, so he's going nowhere," Munene
said. "He prefers [South Sudan political figure Salva Kiir. Yes, the team
is an IGAD team, and he's supposed to lead the team but if one of the
participants, the major player, doesn't want anything to do about him leading
the team, there's something wrong."
For now, fighting is showing no signs of
letting up.

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