Sakaja vs Igathe debate: Fact-checking the frontrunners in 2022 Nairobi governor race
Claim: Ten claims from Nairobi Governor Debate
Source: Polycarp Igathe and Johnson Sakaja (July 2022)
Verdict: Four correct, two mostly correct, one unproven, three incorrect
● In a race to the wire, Johnson Sakaja and Polycarp Igathe are slugging it out on the campaign trail as they go for the prized Nairobi governor’s seat.
● In a nationally televised debate on 11 July, they sold their agenda to Nairobians. Igathe fumbled some of his numbers on revenues, but was on firmer footing with other numbers such as on voting.
● Sakaja has an impressive record as Senator but still inflated his achievements. However, he got his funding numbers right.
With the clock ticking down to the 9 August elections, Kenyan media organised a debate for candidates hoping to be the governor of Nairobi county.
Pollsters have Johnson Sakaja, who represents the county in the Senate, and Polycarp Igathe, a former Deputy Governor, as the frontrunners.
Sakaja is running on a United Democratic Alliance (UDA) ticket, while Igathe is the Jubilee Party candidate.
In a debate that was often bare-knuckled, the pair sparred about their respective visions for the Kenyan capital.
But when the dust settled, how did they fare with their facts? We looked at 10 of their claims.
We have contacted the offices of both candidates for the source of their data. We’ll update this report when we hear back.
Polycarp Igathe - Jubilee party
Claim: “Last year the national government sent Ksh.370 billion to the county governments.”
Verdict: Incorrect
Kenya’s 47 county governments get funding from the national government through monthly payouts by the national treasury. The money is shared equitably across the counties, and also in the form of conditional grants meant for a specific purpose.
“Mwaka uliopita, taifa la Kenya… pesa ambazo walituma kwa serikali gatuzi kutoka kwa serikali ya kitaifa was Ksh.370 billion,”Igathe said, speaking in Kiswahili.
This translates to: “Last year the national government sent Ksh.370 billion to the county governments.”
The most recent financial year - 2021/22 - ended on 30 June. But data for this has not been released.
However, the national treasury said that as of May 31, 2022, it had sent Ksh.286.5 billion to counties.
This data, published on June 17, showed counties were due Ksh.409.9 billion, being Ksh.370 billion as equitable share and Ksh.39.9 billion in conditional grants.
The last full financial year for which there’s data is 2020/21. This showed treasury disbursed Ksh.346.2 billion to the counties as equitable share. These numbers are also corroborated by reports from the controller of budget. The treasury added Ksh.52.8 billion to this amount, bringing the total sent to counties to KSh399 billion.
We have not seen any figures that back Igathe’s claim that in the last financial year the national government sent Ksh.370 billion to counties. He appeared to have confused allocations with actual transfers. He also left out conditional grants, leaving him to work off an inaccurate base. –Makinia Juma.
Claim: “Only 5% of the money sent to counties went to Nairobi.”
Verdict: Correct
Igathe claimed that Nairobi got 5% of the money disbursed to counties.
The most recent data from the Treasury was published on June 17. This showed that of the Ksh.286.5 billion sent to the counties so far, Nairobi got KSh14.3 billion. This works out to 5%.
The data covers the period from July 1, 2021 to May 31, 2022.
Until this point, Igathe is on the money.
He also mentioned “Ksh.370 billion”, which is the equitable share allocated to counties in the 2021/22 financial year.
Using the figure, the data showed Nairobi was allocated KSh19.3 billion. The city was also allocated KSh1.02 billion of the total Ksh.39.9 billion in conditional grants. The total allocation to Nairobi (Ksh.20.3 billion) as a share of the total allocations to counties (Ksh.409.9 billion) works to 5%. – Makinia Juma.
Claim: “Nairobi has 11% of the voters. We have 2.4 million voters out of 22 million voters in the country.”
Verdict: Correct
Igathe argued that the Capital deserves a bigger share of the national revenues in keeping with voter numbers.
“Wapiga kura Nairobi ni 11%,” he said in Kiswahili. This translates to “Nairobi has 11% of the voters”. He added that Nairobi had 2.4 million of the country’s 22 million voters.
Kenya’s electoral commission has data on registered voters.
Nairobi county has 2,415,310 registered voters. As a percentage of all the registered Kenyan voters, with or without those in prisons and the diaspora, this works out to 10.9% . Igathe was on the mark. –Tess Wandia
Claim: “The Kenya Revenue Authority has collected KSh2.2 trillion, 60% of that has come from the businesses and industries in Nairobi.”
Verdict: Unproven
“Ksh.2.2 trillion wamecollect Kenya Revenue Authority. 60% ya hiyo Ksh.2.2 trillion imetoka kwa viwanda na wafanyabiashara hapa Nairobi,” said Igathe, in Kiswahili.
This translates to: “The Kenya Revenue Authority has collected Ksh.2.2 trillion, 60% of that has come from the businesses and industries in Nairobi.”
On 7 July 2022 the tax agency announced it had collected a record Ksh.2.03 trillion in taxes in the 2021/22 financial year. (Note: Igathe exaggerated this figure by Ksh.200 billion.)
But does 60% of this revenue come from Nairobi businesses and industries?
“We have never come across a geographical spread to tax collection,” John Kinuthia told Africa Check. He is a senior programmes officer at the Kenya office of the International Budget Partnership, a budget transparency think tank.
“Igathe might have gone back to the old assumption about Nairobi contributing 60% of the GDP, which is also incorrect,” Kinuthia said.
In April, Igathe incorrectly said the Kenyan capital contributed 40% to the country’s gross domestic product. It is a resilient but inaccurate statistic, as we found in previous fact-checks in 2019 and 2021, and which Kenyan pundits continue to unfortunately rely on.
The most recent data showed Nairobi contributed 27.5% to Kenya’s GDP.
We have not seen any data showing how much taxes the revenue authority collects from the various counties in Kenya. Because we have no data to prove or disprove the claim, we rate it unproven. –Makinia Juma.
Johnson Sakaja -UDA party
Claim: “I have been rated the best performing senator in the republic of Kenya.”
Verdict: Correct
“If you look at the studies that have been done for the last three year running, I have been rated the best performing senator in the republic of Kenya,” said Sakaja.
Kenyan non-profit Mzalendo monitors the Kenyan Parliament and publishes annual rankings of the performance of Kenyan legislators.
“Our scorecard is normally made on the basis of the contribution they make to the house. We also have a separate ranking, the one we call Shujaaz awards. This goes to specific issues that they raised,” Caroline Gaita, Mzalendo’s executive director told Africa Check.
The People’s Shujaaz awards recognise parliamentarians who champion public interest issues in the debating chamber.
So is Sakaja the star of the Kenyan senate?
“We’ve ranked him from 2018, 2019 and 2020 and he was among the best performing senators,” said Gaita. “Sakaja was a Shujaaz awards recipient in 2018. He ranked highly in almost all our scorecards. His committee was also one of the best”.
The 2018 report ranks Sakaja as the top senator. In 2019, Mzalendo ranked Ledama Olekina of Narok county as the best performing senator and Sakaja as the best performing youth in the senate. In 2020, Sakaja emerged the top male senator and the top male youth senator.
There certainly is a ranking of Kenyan senators, and for three consecutive years Sakaja came out on top. –Dancan Bwire
Claim: “I have brought more bills [to the senate] than any other senator.”
Verdict: Incorrect
A bill is a draft law. The Senate legislates on bills affecting counties.
Kenya’s senate has 47 elected senators, each representing a county. Sakaja was elected in 2017 to represent Nairobi city county.
Sakaja claimed he had brought more bills than any other senator and invited debate moderators to check the numbers.
For a record of his performance, we contacted the Senate clerk Jeremiah Nyegenye. He referred us to data on the senate website.
The data showed Sakaja sponsored one bill, the Start-up bill 2020. He co-sponsored two others, the first with Mutula Kilonzo Junior of Makueni county and the other with nominated senator Farhiya Haji. His tally is three.
The bills were not specific to Nairobi, but affected all counties.
The Senator with the highest number of bills is Dr Agnes Zani, nominated by the Orange Democratic Movement party. She has five bills to her name.
At least two other Senators each have three bills to their name. They are Aaron Cheruiyot of Kericho county and Ledama Olekina of Narok county.
Senate data does not back Sakaja’s claim that he had the highest number of bills in the chamber. –Alphonce Shiundu
Claim: “Sakaja has brought more motions than any other senator.”
Verdict: Incorrect
A motion is a proposal put forward for debate or decision in a legislative house.
The Kenyan senate has data on motions filed from 2017, when Sakaja was elected to the senate, to 16 June 2022.
Nominated senator Sylvia Kasanga proposed 15 motions between 2017 and 2022. Dr Abdullahi Ali, the senator for Wajir, was next with 13 motions to his name. Dr Getrude Musuruve sponsored 11 motions over the same period.
Sakaja proposed 10 motions. He therefore hasn’t brought the highest number of motions to the senate. –Alphonce Shiundu
Claim: “I have brought more questions about the county administration of Nairobi than any other senator.”
Verdict: Correct
Kenyan Senate rules allow any senator to seek a statement from a senate committee on any matter. These statements are framed as questions about specific issues that a senator wants answers on from a ministry or any other government arm.
The most recent data shows Sakaja sought 28 statements in the senate since 2018, of which 23 were about Nairobi, while five were about policy issues across the country.
The questions ranged from demolitions of houses, health facilities in the capital and the city’s water problems to the governance challenges in the county government and the plans to ease congestion on Nairobi’s roads.
Sakaja did raise the highest number of questions on Nairobi. Next was nominated senator Millicent Omanga, who sought 22 statements, half of which were about Nairobi –Alphonce Shiundu
Claim: “When I became the Senator for Nairobi, Nairobi was receiving Ksh.15 billion”.
Verdict: Mostly correct
The work of a senator, Sakaja said, is to bring resources to the county. When he was elected, the county was receiving Ksh.15 billion, he claimed.
The national treasury releases funds to county governments every month. The controller of budget keeps a record of annual transfers from the national government to each county.
In his first financial year in office, 2017/18, the county got KSh15.4 billion inequitable share and Ksh.817.4 million as conditional grants, making for a total of Ksh.16.2 billion. The average across the two years is about Ksh.15 billion.
We therefore rate the claim as mostly correct. –Grace Gichuhi
Claim: “I am leaving it with KSh3.3 billion higher, at Ksh.19 billion.”
Verdict: Mostly correct
In the financial year 2020/21, the controller of budget reported that Nairobi county received Ksh.19.4 billion in equitable share, and Ksh.254.2 million as conditional grants. They add up to Ksh.19.7 billion.
The most recent treasury data, published on June 17, 2022, shows that Nairobi has so far received Ksh.14.34 billion of a total allocation of Ksh.19.4 billion as its equitable share in 2021/22. It was also set to get Ksh.1.02 billion in conditional grants.
The financial year ended on June 30, but the treasury has yet to release annual data.
A rise from Ksh.16.2 billion received in his first year in office, to Ksh.19.7 billion in 2020/21, the most recent year for which we have full data, works out to Ksh.3.5 billion. We therefore rate the claim as mostly correct. –Grace Gichuhi
Further reading
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