How China went from courting Trump to ‘never yield’ tariff defiance

U.S. President Donald Trump attends a bilateral meeting with China's President Xi Jinping during the G20 leaders summit in Osaka, Japan, June 29, 2019. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/File Photo
China has put civilian
government officials in Beijing on “wartime footing” and ordered a diplomatic
charm offensive aimed at encouraging other countries to push back against U.S.
President Donald Trump’s tariffs, according to four people familiar with the
matter.
Communist Party
propaganda officials have played a leading role in framing China’s response,
one of the people said, with government spokespeople posting defiant clips on
social media featuring former leader Mao Zedong saying “we will never yield.”
As part of the
“wartime” posture, the details of which are being reported by Reuters for the
first time, bureaucrats in the foreign affairs and commerce ministries have
been ordered to cancel vacation plans and keep mobile phones switched on around
the clock, two of the people said. Departments covering the U.S. have also been
beefed up, including with officials who worked on China’s response to Trump’s
first term, they said.
The combative
all-of-government approach after Trump’s “Liberation Day" salvo
marked a hard turn for Beijing, which had tried to avoid a spiralling trade
war. For months, Chinese diplomats had tried to establish a high-level channel
of communication with Trump’s administration to defend what China’s cabinet has
described in state media campaigns as a “win-win” trading relationship.
Optimistic Chinese
observers even held out hope for a grand bargain with Trump over trade, TikTok
– and perhaps even Taiwan.
This account of how
China shifted from seeking a deal to punching back with retaliatory tariffs and
threatening all-out defiance is based on interviews with more than a dozen
people, including U.S. and Chinese government officials, as well as other diplomats
and scholars briefed on bilateral exchanges.
Four of them also
described how Beijing's diplomats have been engaging other governments targeted
by Trump tariffs, including sending letters seeking cooperation to several
countries. Longstanding U.S. allies in Europe, Japan and South Korea have also
been contacted, two people said.
Most of the people
spoke on condition of anonymity to describe confidential government
deliberations.
China's ministry of
foreign affairs did not return a request for comment. A spokesperson for
China’s embassy in Washington said in response to Reuters' questions that
Beijing did not want to fight trade wars “but is not scared of them.”
“If the U.S. puts its
own interests over the public good of the international community and
sacrifices all countries’ legitimate interests for its own hegemony, it will
for sure meet stronger opposition from the international community,” the
official said.
The South Korean and
Japanese embassies in Washington did not immediately respond to a request for
comment on talks between their countries and China.
After the initial
Chinese retaliation, Trump said: "China played it wrong, they panicked -
the one thing they cannot afford to do!” He has also suggested that Beijing
wanted to make a deal but “they just don't know how quite to go about it."
U.S. officials have
also blamed China for the impasse because its trillion-dollar trade surplus
with the world is the result of what they see as abuses of the global commerce
system that haven’t been successfully addressed through years of negotiations.
Trump on April 2
stunned the world with massive tariffs that he said would prevent countries
like China from “ripping off” the U.S. Chinese leader Xi Jinping ditched
official caution and issued a patriotic message casting doubt on whether
American voters could bear as much hardship as the Chinese.
The “Liberation Day”
levies have since been suspended for all countries except China for 90 days.
With some exceptions, trade of goods between China and the U.S. is now
largely frozen, and Beijing is starting to crack down on trade of services,
while warning its citizens against travel to the U.S. and putting curbs on
import of American films.
POLITE START AND A
QUICK STALL
Even after Trump was
elected on the promise of high tariffs, relations with Beijing got off to a
polite start. Trump invited Xi to his inauguration, which was eventually
attended by Chinese Vice President Han Zheng.
Things started
deteriorating soon after.
During the first Trump
administration, Beijing had several high-level channels of communication, most
notably between then-ambassador Cui Tiankai and Trump’s son-in-law, Jared
Kushner.
There isn’t an
equivalent channel this time around, according to a Beijing official familiar
with Sino-American ties, adding that China wasn’t sure who spoke for Trump on
their relationship.
A Trump administration
official said in response to Reuters' questions that the U.S. had "made
clear to China that we want working-level contact to continue... but will not
engage for the sake of engagement and in dialogues that do not advance American
interests."
Chinese ambassador to
the U.S. Xie Feng made unsuccessful attempts before the election to reach
Trump’s billionaire ally Elon Musk, said a U.S. scholar who recently visited
China for unofficial exchanges that Beijing has historically used to
communicate with Washington policymakers.
Musk didn’t
immediately return a request for comment.
Chinese Foreign
Minister Wang Yi tried to meet Secretary of State Marco Rubio, a
China hawk who is sanctioned by Beijing, during a February visit to New York to
chair a United Nations session but did not secure a meeting. There has been no
publicly disclosed exchange between the two sides’ top diplomats beyond a
frosty phone call in late January.
Wang was also
unsuccessful in his efforts to meet on that trip with National Security Adviser
Mike Waltz, said a person familiar with the matter. Wang had held numerous
talks with Waltz’s predecessor, Jake Sullivan, including an exchange that led
to a rare prisoner swap.
The White House
believes that China should send a senior trade official instead of Wang to
speak on commerce matters, according to a person familiar with the
administration’s thinking.
U.S. Commerce
Secretary Howard Lutnick has said he was “not engaging with China” and that
Trump wants to negotiate directly with Xi.
Trump told reporters
this week that he would be willing to meet Xi, whom he also described as a
friend. He has not detailed any specifics of a possible deal.
The Trump
administration official said the U.S. had repeatedly asked Chinese diplomats if
Xi would request a phone call with Trump and “the answer has consistently been
‘no.’”
International
relations expert Zhao Minghao at Shanghai’s Fudan University said such outreach
“totally doesn’t work in terms of the Chinese policymaking system.”
“For the Chinese side,
usually there is agreement and work on the working level and then we can
arrange the summit,” he said.
The way “countries
which have tried to negotiate have been treated so far this year also
certainly has not done much to encourage China to sit down at the table,” said
Lynn Song, Chief Economist for Greater China at ING Bank.
There are some ongoing
conversations between lower-level officials on both sides, according to one
Chinese and three U.S. officials, though some working groups put in place by
the Joe Biden administration to deal with commercial disputes, as well as treasury
and military issues have been frozen.
While many countries
were hit by U.S. tariffs this month for the first time, China honed its
response during previous bouts of the Sino-American trade war.
Drawing on lessons
from Trump’s first term, China created a retaliatory playbook that includes
tariffs as well as restrictions on about 60 U.S. companies and curbs on exports
of rare earths.
The effort was a
result of weeks of preparations by Chinese government officials who had been
tasked with studying Trump’s policies and suggesting countermeasures that could
be gradually scaled up, according to two people familiar with the situation.
Xi opted for a strong
response, hitting back with across-the-board levies even before Trump’s
announced tariffs went into effect. The duties were announced shortly before
Wall Street opened on April 4 - a public holiday in China. U.S. equities
dropped sharply lower.
One Chinese official
briefed on the deliberations described the unusually swift response as akin to
COVID pandemic-era decision making that was carried out without the customary
sign offs by all relevant departments.
Some Chinese opinion
leaders appeared to suggest off-ramps in the trade war.
Ren Yi, a political
blogger with nearly 2 million followers on the Weibo microblogging platform
said in an April 8 post that countermeasures “do not require a broad increase
in tariffs on American goods.”
Ren, whose father was
a prominent reformist leader in the 1980s, suggested targeted moves like
suspension of fentanyl cooperation and further restrictions on agricultural
imports and movies.
China’s finance
ministry said Friday that with tariffs on U.S. goods now at 125%, it will stop
matching any future hikes in duties by Washington, whose tariff strategy
it branded a “joke”.
China’s foreign
ministry has summoned many of the heads of its overseas missions back to
Beijing for a special meeting held this week to coordinate the response,
according to two Beijing-based diplomats.
China has also sent
formal letters to government officials of other countries pressured by Trump to
engage in trade negotiations.
The letters, which
were described to Reuters by four people familiar with their contents, outlined
the Chinese position as well as the need for multipolarity and for countries to
stand together. The messaging also included criticism of U.S. policy that echoed
China's public statements.
China has approached
some G20 governments with wording for a joint declaration voicing support for
the multilateral trading system, an EU diplomat told Reuters.
But the diplomat said
that the messaging did not address concerns also held by non-U.S. governments
about Chinese overcapacity, its subsidy regime and alleged unfair competition.
Beijing has said those
concerns are overblown and that the rise of its high-tech industries is due to
its comparative advantages and benefits the world.
China is also heavily
focused on the domestic reaction to the tariffs, with social media users this
week widely reposting an April 7 editorial in the official People’s Daily
warning against panic.
China has also
recently started encouraging households to spend more and has
dramatically changed its language about domestic consumption. Beijing is aiming
to shift the engine of growth from exports to consumers at a time when the
economy remains hobbled by a crisis of failed real estate development.
“The real battlefield
is on the domestic front, rather than bilateral negotiations,” said Zhao of
Fudan University.
Chinese officials also
published on Musk’s X platform a clip of Chairman Mao giving a speech in 1953 -
the last time the U.S. and China were in direct military conflict during the
Korean War.
In the clip, Mao,
whose oldest son died in the war, says peace is up to the Americans.
“No matter how long
this war is going to last, we’ll never yield,” he said. “We’ll fight until we
completely triumph.”
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