Muli’s National Liberation Party gains ground in Ukambani

Political observers note that NLP’s presence is increasingly being felt in Kitui, Machakos and Makueni counties, areas traditionally dominated by Kalonzo Musyoka’s Wiper Democratic Movement. 

While Wiper remains the most established party in the region, NLP’s expanding grassroots activity suggests a gradual diversification of political loyalties.

Growing Footprint at the Grassroots

According to party officials, NLP has registered more than 200,000 members across Ukambani, including about 130,000 in Kitui County.

 Independent estimates put the figure higher, though these numbers have not been formally verified by the Registrar of Political Parties. 

Analysts attribute the party’s growth to sustained local mobilisation, youth-oriented messaging and community-based networks.

NLP’s increasing mention alongside Wiper in local political discourse is seen as an early indicator of shifting dynamics, particularly among younger voters and previously non-aligned groups.

Clan Leadership and Political Influence

Muli’s political profile is further strengthened by his role within the Anzauni clan, one of the larger clans in Ukambani.

 In February 2024, he was installed as patron by the Akamba Clan Governing Council of Elders, a move that has enhanced his standing within parts of the community.

While clan influence does not automatically translate into electoral support, analysts say the overlap between cultural leadership and party organisation could provide Muli with a significant base in regional politics, especially in coalition negotiations.

Positioning Ahead of 2027

NLP is currently aligned with the Azimio la Umoja coalition, giving the party a foothold in national opposition politics. This alignment may offer Muli leverage as Azimio allies begin early calculations for 2027, including potential power-sharing arrangements.

For decades, Kalonzo Musyoka has remained the dominant political figure in Ukambani, using Wiper’s regional strength to maintain national relevance. NLP’s rise does not yet amount to a direct threat to that dominance, but it introduces an element of competition that has largely been absent in recent electoral cycles.

As preparations for 2027 gradually take shape, the evolving contest between Wiper and NLP will be closely watched. 

The extent to which NLP can convert mobilisation into votes will determine whether Ukambani’s political voice remains consolidated or becomes more fragmented on the national stage